The achievement of a new record stock price index (CSPI) to 3900's level
at the weekend showed no positive signals from the external and internal. Stock index was projected to get through at least 4000 levels by the end of July 2011.
"Level 4000's can be penetrated with a state record of the global economy, regional and internal support," said Managing Reseacrh PT Indosurya Asset Management, Reza Priyambada when contacted Legal in Jakarta, Monday (04/07/2011).
Reza said that in June 2011 last movement of the index tends to often be in the red zone. It can not be separated from the influence of the Greek debt crisis at that time was not yet clear.
The problem remains Greece's debt crisis mambayangi JCI movement. Where previous zone finance ministers postpone decision to extend Europe continued assistance of 120 billion euros, or $ 17 billion in emergency loans to Greece. Because the Greek government should first do the saving.
Greek parties said they needed the loan to avoid default to pay the debt in mid-July. The ministers affirmed bahawa disbursement of the loan will depend on the law of the Greek parliament on the issue of fiscal reform and the sale of state assets.
But, any certainty of settlement of the debt crisis of Greece, where voting is done by Parliament Yunanai approve the budget austerity policies will do. With this policy the IMF and European Central Bank is willing to provide bailout funds to resolve the problems of debt crisis.
During the debt crisis of the Greek problem JCI movement in June 2011 move fluktuaktif. JCI could rebound even if just to be thin but can also weaken. Like for example the movement of stock index on Monday (6/27/2011) evening closed down 35.13 points, or 0.9 percent, to 3813.
"Disbursements will fund the bailout if it happens will be done this week. If it is to be realized then it will be a positive sentiment for pergerkana JCI, but if otherwise, then JCI also has the potential to turn around," he explained.
Given the positive signal from Greece's debt crisis, the JCI movement began to squirm a bit and penetrate the new level is the level of 3900's and in the presence of positive signals yabng berdatang it is not impossible CSPI will be able to penetrate to the level of 4000's.
Yet despite such reinforcement that occurs when the index is now entering an area or areas overbrought overbought, and it menyenbabkan that investors tend to take action.
"If the stock index reached a new level let alone have entered the overbought area, it's normal correction will occur within one or two days. But, if supported by external and internal sentiment is good, it's not impossible that the JCI can pass the level of 4000's," he explained.
The improvement in a number of economic data in the U.S. also gave a positive sentiment, and inflation is under control enough that dinilaiu still under control and tightening monetary policy conducted by China also provides fresh air to penetrate pergerarakan JCI to 4000 levels.
According to Reza, stocks that can deliver the level of 4000 JCI's not based on sectors will share, but the stocks have a market capitalization of such a large stake in PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLKM), PT Astra International Tbk (ASII) , PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) and PT Bank Mandiri Tbk (BMRI).
"Stocks that have large market kapitasasi would later lead to JCI could penetrate to the level of 4000's because investors here also will see and pay attention to liquidity than those shares," he concluded.
source http://m.okezone.com
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